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XRP Price Top Is In? Network Metrics Put 385% Rally at Risk

  • Writer: Sammy Salmela
    Sammy Salmela
  • May 26
  • 2 min read

XRP price chart showing potential decline

Article with AI Analysis:

Date: 26 May 2025


Introduction

XRP has experienced a significant rally, surging over 385% since late 2024. However, recent on-chain data and technical patterns suggest that this upward momentum may be waning. Indicators point towards a potential 25% price correction, raising concerns among investors about the sustainability of the current price levels.


On-Chain Metrics Signal Market Top

Analysis from Glassnode reveals that over 70% of XRP's realized market capitalization has been accumulated between late 2024 and early 2025. This concentration mirrors patterns observed in previous market peaks, such as in late 2017 and 2021, which were followed by substantial price declines. The influx of newer investors during these periods often leads to increased sensitivity to price fluctuations, potentially triggering sharper sell-offs during corrections.


Decline in Network Activity

XRP's network activity, measured by the number of active addresses, has plummeted by over 90% since its peak in March 2025. This significant drop indicates reduced transactional demand and suggests that fewer participants are engaging with the network. Historically, such divergences between rising prices and falling on-chain activity have preceded local market tops.


Technical Analysis Points to Potential 25% Decline

Technical charts show XRP consolidating within a falling wedge pattern. As of 26 May 2025, XRP is exhibiting signs of entering a short-term correction cycle after failing to break above the wedge's upper trendline. A broader pullback could push the price towards the wedge's lower trendline, aligning with the 50-week exponential moving average near $1.76, representing a potential 25% decline from current levels.


AI-Powered Sentiment Analysis

Our AI analysis of this article revealed:


  • Sentiment Score: 0.97 Indicates a highly positive sentiment in the narrative.

  • Financial Sentiment: 2.17 Suggests a strong financial focus, emphasizing market implications.

  • Polarity Score: 0.004 Reflects a neutral tone, balancing both positive and negative aspects.

  • Subjectivity Score: 0.466 Denotes a moderately objective analysis, combining factual data with interpretative insights.


These scores suggest that while the article maintains a neutral tone, it leans towards highlighting potential risks in XRP's current market position.


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Disclaimer

This article was generated using AI and reviewed for accuracy. The information presented is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional before making investment decisions.

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